Andrew Trench notes from the revolution

26Nov/07Off

The Zuma Years Loom

Very interesting news over the weekend on the ANC's support for Zuma and Mbeki from the various provinces. As we report today, Zuma has overwhelming support with a total of 2270 votes to Mbeki's 1396. Zuma has five provinces behind him versus Mbeki's four.
This sets the scene for a fascinating tussle in Pholokwane next month but at this stage Zuma looks to be a shoe-in for ANC president and thus the next president of South Africa.
Rubbing my journalist's crystal ball, this is what I predict in the coming weeks:

  • At least one more "scandal" emerging with Zuma at the centre;
  • A major development on his pending possible prosecution on corruption charges;
  • Some very moderate messages coming out of Zuma targeting business and investor constituencies;
  • Some vigorous moves by Mbeki loyalists to try and swing closely fought provinces prior to the formal voting.
  • The weekend results must be hugely concerning to Mbeki. They are no less than a resounding vote of no confidence in his leadership. I'm not surprised that the Eastern Cape backed him but I'm amazed at how he appears to have been trounced in Gauteng with barely a third of the vote.

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    Posted by Andrew Trench

    Filed under: economy Comments Off
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    1. The decision of the ANCWL is very disappointing indeed especially if one considers the fact that we have just launched the 16 days of activism. we all know that JZ was acquitted in the rape case but the decision of the league is confusing to say the least.The league made statements that they would never support a person associated with these allegations or engaging in unprotected sex and so on. My personal view is that the ANCWL seems very confused if u ask me. I have no problem with JZ my problem is contradicting statements made by the ANCWL but I guess there is nothing one can do except to accept their decision for the sake of progress and that of the Organization.


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